世界が再生可能エネルギーに投資するのに必要な額は? 世界経済フォーラムの場で試算発表
世界経済フォーラムの場で29日にリリースされたリポートによると、壊滅的な気候変動を回避するために必要な再生可能エネルギーの分野での投資は、2030年までの毎年、 $515 billion-per-year(515,000,000,000ドル=5150億ドル)に達するという驚くべき試算が発表されたそうです。ちょと、、額がでかすぎる、、、?。
プレスリリース / World Economic Forum,29 January 2009
・World Economic Forum : Climate Change / World Economic Forum Report: US $ 515 Billion needed in Green Investments
-----image(”Green Investing: Towards a Clean Energy Infrastructure ”) : リポート(pdf,P.56)カバー[www.weforum.org/pdf/climate/Green.pdf、リリース内にリンクがあります。)
" The World Economic Forum today released the Green Investing: Towards a Clean Energy Infrastructure report. The report outlines the scale of the investments needed to develop a clean energy infrastructure and move to towards a low-carbon economy.New Energy Finance, which collaborated with the World Economic Forum on the report, warns that unless at least US$ 515 billion per annum is invested in clean energy between now and 2030, carbon emissions will reach a level deemed unsustainable by scientists, causing temperatures to rise by two degrees globally.
The report identifies eight emerging, large-scale clean energy sectors that are expected to significantly contribute in the move to a clean energy infrastructure of the future: onshore wind, offshore wind, solar photovoltaic, solar thermal electricity generation, municipal solar waste-to-energy, sugar-based ethanol, cellulosic and next generation biofuels, and geothermal power.
..........
Other highlights from the report include:
・ Clean energy investments increased from around US$ 30 billion in 2004 to over US$ 140 billion by 2008. Investments in 2008 exceeded expectations at US$ 155 billion (the report is based on projections for 2008 ? which suggests that US$ 142 billion would be invested by year-end).
・ Investment in clean energy has not only increased, but has also diversified geographically. Developing countries attracted 23% (US$ 26 billion) of asset financing in 2007, compared to 13% (US$ 1.8 billion) in 2004.
・ In addition, four key enablers for a shift to clean energy will be energy efficiency, smart grids, energy storage, and carbon capture and storage.
・ Well-developed conditions for innovation, markets for clean energy through public procurement, energy efficiency standards and stable and simple policies are essential to meet the climate change challenge.Earlier today, speaking at a press conference at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2009, Yvo de Boer, Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC, Connie Hedegaard, Minister of Climate and Energy for Denmark, and Lord Nicholas Stern, among many others ? including senior business and NGO representatives and Members of the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council on Climate Change ? issued a statement urging the link of the economy and climate agendas in 2009. They warn against complacency in the UN climate talks, due to conclude in December in Copenhagen to replace the Kyoto Protocol.
..........
The full statement is available here.”Shaping an Opportunity Out of Crisis
A message to participants in the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2009
from Members of the Global Agenda Council on Climate Change1
1. Few other challenges are as serious for the future of humanity as climate change. The IPCC in its Fourth
Assessment Report has highlighted an accelerated change in average surface global temperature as well as in the
sea level rise since the mid-1980s. Growing scientific evidence suggests that failure to limit global warming to
2°Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels would make it impossible to avoid potentially irreversible
changes to the Earth’s ability to sustain human development. According to the most advanced climate system
models, there is a 5 in 6 chance of success in holding the 2°C-line if worldwide greenhouse gas output is reduced by
80% by 2050, relative to 1990. In light of this scientific evidence, cuts in emissions of 50% by 2050 relative to 1990
should be the absolute minimum for target reductions and the aim should be to make cuts as close to 80% as
possible if the cost is not prohibitive. For richer countries - as per recent announcements by US and European
leaders - the aspiration should be at least an 80% reduction by 2050 relative to 1990 levels, along with appropriate
nearer-term targets such as in 2020 or 2025.
2. The need to begin the transition to a low-carbon global economy has become far more urgent. We need to
move fast. Scientific evidence shows world emissions must peak and decline in the next 10-15 years, to keep the
door open for climate stabilization. We should be mindful that decreased emissions as a result of the economic
slowdown should not be misinterpreted as real progress. Economic recession is not an answer to climate
change. We want the world economy to grow and this growth must be sustainable, which means transitioning to a
low-carbon global economy. Developed countries must show leadership in driving forward the low-carbon transition
and in leading Research Development & Demonstration (RD&D) for low-carbon technologies. These challenges will
be impossible to meet without the full engagement of major developing countries as well.
3. We must innovate as we rebuild our economies during 2009
.......... ”-----Full statementより "
関連記事
・World Economic Forum: Clean Energy Needs $515B a Year-----Greentech Media,January 29, 2009
コメント続き
額に驚いたのは、こちらが世界を考えるには、小物すぎたせいのようです。リポートによれば、世界の再生可能エネルギーの分野への投資額は、2007年の実績で $150 billion-per-yearに達しているそうです。したがって、現在の三倍強のレベルを2030年まで継続させることで達成できるのだそうです。となれば、世界が本気になれば、無理ではない数字です。
リポートを読むのは週末以降になりそうですが、このリポートは力になりそうです。(t_t)
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